Well ladies and gentlemen, this is about all there is to it. Everything that needs to be said has been aired out. Go out there and kick some butt this week and take home your trophy. Don’t overthink it, trust your guys, but look to the waiver wire if you need some last minute fixes.
Preface; I’m not listing Kirk Cousins for the umpteenth time, but man if he’s available and you’re struggling please grab him. Another borderline QB1 performance for the man who has just produced week in and week out since the bye.
Jalen Hurts, PHI
In what may be my easiest pick of the season, Jalen Hurts may be a league winner for many. His threat to run has accounted for 40% of his fantasy points since his triumphant start against the Saints last week. I will say that some expectations may need to be tempered due to a weak passing completion percentage that has hovered in the 50s; if he fails to move the chains he may be unable to stay on the field long enough to produce another QB1 effort. He offers considerable upside in a neutral matchup, so this week, he should be able to feast on a Cowboys’ defens that hasn’t been able to turn the corner this season. What should make managers salivate even more is the fact that the Cowboys’ worst efforts this season have been against quarterbacks who can rip them apart on the ground – Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, and Lamar Jackson. Hurts may be a top 5 play this week.
Marcus Mariota, LV
If Hurts has been scooped up in your league, Mariota may be a discount version that will surely be available. The rushing upside is clearly there as evident of his 3rd-quarter plunge, much to the chagrin of Josh Jacobs owners. For the two or three atrocious, rookie-level throws that were picks or drops, Mariota matched that with a few vintage level teardrops, especially to Darren Waller, that kept the Raiders in this game. Playoff chances are bleak, but Mariota will have to match his performance last week and minimize mistakes against a stout Dolphins defense to carry you to your championship.
Editor’s Note: Derek Carr has been practicing this week. If that is the case, I recommend leaving Mariota on the waiver wire.
Baker Mayfield, CLE
Even with one of the league’s top rushing attacks, Mayfield has the Browns clicking on all cylinders and has put up 4 straight high-floor performances. His lows over this stretch has been 258-yards and 2 touchdowns – a lock for 18 points. The former Sooner has reduced his turnover risk as well, only throwing one pick and losing one fumble over this stretch. Mayfield’s road trip continues with a Week 16 matchup against the Jets who puzzlingly put together their first win of the season against the Rams.
Tua Tagovailoa, MIA
As someone who has notably not seen the hype with Tua’s starts, the promising 5-2 start has yielded some serviceable fantasy performances. However, Sunday’s win against New England marked the 4th time out of 7 starts that the Alabama product failed to pass for over 170 yards. A trio of rushing scores has boosted his value the past few weeks and I would be remiss to not list Tua as he takes on the Raiders. Las Vegas is coming apart at the seams with their recent meltdowns and have not been able to stop a nosebleed. It may be a pick-your-own-poison game as the Dolphins could run the ball down their throats just as easily as the Raiders have the third worst rushing defense.