WR Start/Sit: Week 16

Quarterbacks | Running backs | Wide Receivers | Tight Ends | Start/Sit Of The Week

You have made it to the championship!  Or…as I said before, if you are league has its championship next week, you’re doing it wrong.  This is the week that bragging rights are made of, and it happens to kickoff with a game on Christmas.  Below are some observations for this championship week, hopefully they help you win the hardware in your league.  Thank you for reading my work all year, and hopefully you have enjoyed the articles.  Stay safe this holiday season and best of luck!

Be sure to reach out with your Start/Sit, or other fantasy questions to me directly on Twitter at @BGunnWMU or @FGBros

Start Them

Keke Coutee, WR, Houston:  Coutee has either scored or gone over 100 yards in each of the games since Fuller has started serving his suspension.  Although that is a lofty expectation for this week, Coutee is being ranked outside of the top 36 receivers, and should outperform that if he receives the target share that he has garnered since Fuller’s absence.  The Bengals are middle of the road against both the pass and the run, and the Houston defense hasn’t exactly been great either.  Although Las Vegas has only set the over/under at 45, I believe that the lack of defense could see this game have some sneaky shootout potential.  Start Coutee as a mid-range WR3 this week.

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati:  In perusing the rankings this week, I could not help but notice that a few places down from Coutee was Higgins.  I could not believe that Higgins was sitting outside of the top 40 in a game against a top-3 matchup for opposing wide receivers in Houston.  Yes, I know that we are most likely dealing with Ryan Finley, or Brandon Allen at quarterback, but Higgins has seen over 5 targets in every game this season.  I get that these are probably going to be low-quality targets, but they are targets that come against a generous defense, and as a result you can do much better as a WR3 than Higgins, who will finish in that range, out-performing his ranking outside of the top 40.  

CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas:  After going for more than 75 yards in 3 of his first 5 games in the NFL, Lamb has only surpassed that mark once since.  This does not have as much to do with the 3-headed receiving core, and fighting for targets like many, myself included thought would be the case.  It has more to do with the drop-off in quarterback play from Dak Prescott to Andy Dalton.  Philadelphia has seen a changing of the guard as well, turning from Carson Wentz who’s regression has anyone who watches football scratching their head, to Jalen Hurts, who has taken the NFL by storm.  As a result, Philadelphia is favored in this matchup that could have playoff implications (no, seriously), and will have Dallas attacking the Philadelphia passing defense as the weakest link.  Much like Higgins, Lamb has received a good target share, receiving less than 5 targets only twice on the year.  Lamb will receive the targets, and exceed production that sees him being projected outside of WR3 status.  Fire up Lamb as a low-end WR2 option this week.  

Sit Them

Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle:  Lockett’s Seahawks face the toughest matchup against receivers this week in the LA Rams.  This isn’t the only reason for Lockett’s name showing up in this portion of the article.  Lockett has seen his production fall off of a cliff since his Week 7, 3-touchdown effort, only finding paydirt once since then.  There are a few reasons for this, one of which is the emergence of teammate D.K. Metcalf from option 1A, to clear-cut #1 receiver material.  The other is coach Pete Carrol’s pivot from imitating the greatest show on turf, to showing how well-balanced of an offense he can call.  For real football reasons, this is probably a good change for the Seahawks, but it has absolutely tanked Lockett’s fantasy value.  All of these items lend themselves to the reason that I have Lockett finishing outside of WR2 status where he is currently being projected.  Lockett will provide a safe floor this week, but do not count on the boom potential that elevated Lockett early in the year, settling in as a mid-range WR3 this week.

Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington:  McLaurin is without question one of my favorite players in this league, so to put him here hurts a little.  There are a few reasons for doing so, one of which is that he is being ranked as a WR1 this week.  Like I said, I love Scary, but he will be catching passes from either a hobbled Alex Smith, or, even worse, Dwayne Haskins.  Washington is going to want to win this game, which means limiting turnovers, and attacking Carolina’s weakness which comes in defending the run game.  This game is going to be another slugfest according to Las Vegas, as it has been set as the lowest over/under on the slate.  Although I will be rooting for McLaurin this week, in a game will little big play potential, I believe he will be limited.  Scary will finish as a mid to high-end WR2 this week, but will fall short of his WR1 billing.

Editor’s Note: Antonio Gibson has practiced this week and has the potential to return this week, balancing the offensive attack of Washington.

Brandon Gunn

Born and raised in Michigan, Gunner naturally married a Buckeye. Their “house-divided” has proved to be challenging during college football seasons to say the least. Nonetheless, they’ve endured and have two kids to show for it (according to the paternity tests). Currently, raising a 10-yr old (teenage) girl and a 7-yr old (mini-Will Ferrell) provides constant entertainment, but also provides a strong argument for Gunner’s early hair loss. Let’s be honest, though, there can’t be a “mini-Will Ferrell” without the original. In his free time, when Gunner isn’t making people laugh (intentionally or not), he’s playing beer league hockey, coaching mite hockey, and pursuing his dreams of becoming the Anchorman of Fantasy Football.

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